Quote Originally Posted by Oldtimer View Post
That math would only work if only those 13 teams could win. You have to average the number of teams over the 11 seasons to get real odds. So it's better than "slightly" beating the odds. More like 1 in 18, give or take (I'm not doing a detailed calculation).
If it was a 13 team league then "beating the odds" would mean winning it in year 6 or sooner. 7 would be average. 8 or greater would be below average.