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    Quote Originally Posted by fergiejr View Post
    Maybe sooner. If we win on Wednesday, it eliminates all teams but NYCFC from the race. We play NER on Saturday and NYCFC plays Houston - which will not be a walk in the park They're just below the playoffline so they will want points. Any result other than a win for NYCFC will eliminate them.

    On Saturday, they have the 3PM game. We have the 5PM game.
    this is the part that sucks. I want NYCFC to win this week so that we can claim shield on home turf rather then win it away.

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    "There are some people who might have better technique than me, and some may be fitter than me, but the main thing is tactics. With most players, tactics are missing. You can divide tactics into insight, trust, and daring." - Johan Cruyff

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    Hoping the Reds can defy the odds after winning the Supporter Shield and carry on to claim the MLS Cup. Only 6 of 21 Supporter Shield winners have gone onto do this. Not since the Galaxy in 2012 has a team won the double. Man pinch me again, still can't believe this season is happening. Wake me up please, I hope I am not dreaming. ( :

    Remember The Man, The Legend, The Goal 5-12-07 and All That #9 Left On The Pitch, Thanks For The Memories !!!

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    EASTERN CONFERENCE PTS GP GR Max Playoffs As of now Shield? Playoffs?
    Toronto FC 62 29 5 77 Bye. Home Field Advantage
    New York City FC 51 29 5 66 Bye. Home Field Advantage
    Chicago Fire 48 29 5 63 Wildcard vs. Atlanta United FC
    Columbus Crew SC 44 30 4 56 Wildcard vs. New York Red Bulls NO Chance
    Atlanta United FC 43 27 7 64 Wildcard @ Columbus Crew SC
    New York Red Bulls 42 28 6 60 Wildcard @ Chicago Fire NO Chance
    Montreal Impact 36 28 6 54 HOPE NO Chance
    New England Revolution 35 29 5 50 HOPE NO Chance
    Orlando City SC 35 29 5 50 HOPE NO Chance
    Philadephia Union 33 29 5 48 HOPE NO Chance
    D.C. United 28 29 5 43 HOPE NO Chance
    WESTERN CONFERENCE PTS GP GR Max Playoffs?
    Vancouver Whitecaps FC 45 28 6 63 Bye. Home Field Advantage
    Portland Timbers 44 30 4 56 Bye. Home Field Advantage NO Chance
    Sporting KC 44 28 6 62 Wildcard vs Real Salt Lake NO Chance
    Seattle Sounders FC 44 29 5 59 Wildcard vs San Jose NO Chance
    San Jose Earthquakes 39 29 5 54 Wildcard @ Seattle NO Chance
    Real Salt Lake 38 30 4 50 Wildcard @ Real Salt Lake NO Chance
    Houston Dynamo 38 28 6 56 HOPE NO Chance
    FC Dallas 38 28 6 56 HOPE NO Chance
    Minnesota United FC 29 28 6 47 HOPE NO Chance
    LA Galaxy 27 28 6 45 HOPE NO Chance
    Colorado Rapids 26 28 6 44 HOPE NO Chance

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    The Bye is good for sure...but there is no Home-field advantage until the Cup Final. The two legged nature of the divisional games makes those an even contest.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Hamilton_Red View Post
    The Bye is good for sure...but there is no Home-field advantage until the Cup Final. The two legged nature of the divisional games makes those an even contest.
    Not exactly. Having the second game at home is an advantage if the game is tied on total goals as extra time will be at home. Suppose a team lost 3-2 in the first leg and won 3-2 in the second, it would be better off in that exciting emotional moment to be home for the extra time..... That's a home field advantage

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    Quote Originally Posted by MightyDM View Post
    Not exactly. Having the second game at home is an advantage if the game is tied on total goals as extra time will be at home. Suppose a team lost 3-2 in the first leg and won 3-2 in the second, it would be better off in that exciting emotional moment to be home for the extra time..... That's a home field advantage
    Home field advantage also works in that you know how the away goals rules is working, which will modify game plans dramatically.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MightyDM View Post
    Not exactly. Having the second game at home is an advantage if the game is tied on total goals as extra time will be at home. Suppose a team lost 3-2 in the first leg and won 3-2 in the second, it would be better off in that exciting emotional moment to be home for the extra time..... That's a home field advantage
    I like that Montreal impact analogy from last year

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    Quote Originally Posted by fergiejr View Post
    Maybe sooner. If we win on Wednesday, it eliminates all teams but NYCFC from the race. We play NER on Saturday and NYCFC plays Houston - which will not be a walk in the park They're just below the playoffline so they will want points. Any result other than a win for NYCFC will elimhinate them.

    On Saturday, they have the 3PM game. We have the 5PM game.
    Saturday is this weekend though.

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    Shouldn't the sheild be presented at the first home game after we've clinched? Most likely we'll clinch at revs or home to red bulls. Seems anticlimactic to me to present it more than 2 weeks after clinching it. Plus, are we that desperate to troll the impact in our moment of glory? Do we want them gooning us in the second last game of the season before our run at MLS cup?
    Last edited by Jeffro; 09-19-2017 at 01:02 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeffro View Post
    Shouldn't the sheild be presented at the first home game after we've clinched? Most likely we'll clinch at revs or home to red bulls. Seems anticlimactic to me to present it more than 2 weeks after clinching it. Plus, are we that desperate to troll the impact in our moment of glory? Do we want them gooning us in the second last game of the season before our run at MLS cup?
    I think it is more about rubbing it in the IMFC travelling supporters, I would like to see that, lots of cheeky, but classy TIFO's and 2 stick signs. That would be nice to see broadcast nation wide, and of course you know some (there are many respectful IMFC supporters) not all of the L'impact supporters will cause a scene.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeffro View Post
    Shouldn't the sheild be presented at the first home game after we've clinched? Most likely we'll clinch at revs or home to red bulls. Seems anticlimactic to me to present it more than 2 weeks after clinching it. Plus, are we that desperate to troll the impact in our moment of glory? Do we want them gooning us in the second last game of the season before our run at MLS cup?
    it really is about the logistics of getting it here and an international border. Its being brought up personally on the date, the club is more than fine with it as are the other groups leadership.
    Road Trips: July 7 2007 Chicago, July 22nd 2007 Columbus, August 11 2007 NY, October 13 2007 LA, March 29 2008 Columbus, May 24th 2008 DC, May 26 2008 Montreal, June 28th 2008 NE, March 7-11-14 2009 Charleston, March 28 2009 Columbus, April 10 2010 New England, May 12 2010 Montreal, April 7 2012 Montreal, March 16 2013 Montreal , June 3 2014 Montreal, March 14 2015 Columbus

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    Quote Originally Posted by Phil View Post
    it really is about the logistics of getting it here and an international border. Its being brought up personally on the date, the club is more than fine with it as are the other groups leadership.
    Will the presentation be done in front of the prawn sandwiches or the south end? They should consider doing it in front of the supporters, IMO.

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    SportsClubStats.com odds on winning the shield:


    TFC - 99.937%
    NYC - 0.0517%
    ATL - 0.00904%
    CHI - 0.00178%
    SKC - 0.000111%

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    Quote Originally Posted by MartinUtd View Post
    SportsClubStats.com odds on winning the shield:


    TFC - 99.937%
    NYC - 0.0517%
    ATL - 0.00904%
    CHI - 0.00178%
    SKC - 0.000111%
    I've often wondered what it would be like when TFC at long last wins the Shield. Always figured it would be a to-the-last-game day slog though the final fixtures. Never even considered it could even happen like this.

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    Theatre in the round is always best but I suspect TV angles will win out.

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    Quote Originally Posted by OgtheDim View Post
    Theatre in the round is always best but I suspect TV angles will win out.
    You could argue that for the better "TV Shot" use the camera behind the South end net, or have a steady-cam on field with the players doing the Iceland/TFC/Giant clap while holding the shield with a graphic on the scoreboard behind them.

    Or maybe I am overthinking this.
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    I thought I heard the announcer say at the end of the TFC/NE game that TFC would win the supporters shield Wednesday if MTL beat NYCFC. That's not true UNLESS MTL also beat ATL tomorrow. If ATL win out the year, they would finish with 64 points... which means that MTLvsNYCFC means nothing in terms of TFC and the shield.

    I think ideal situation for us is MTL tie both those games.

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    A MTL win over NYC means they can't catch us and we clinch a first round bye. That still means something. In theory, Chicago could still tie us but would have to make up a 21 goal GD.

    I wouldn't want to be NYC on the last game playing CBus and needing a win - that team is the dark horse in the East.

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    3 teams can catch us if we lose the remaining games. Chicago can't catch us, they can only get to 60 points - see below.

    EASTERN CONFERENCE PTS GP GR Max Playoffs? Shield?
    x - Toronto FC 62 31 3 71 Bye. Home Field Advantage
    New York City FC 52 30 4 64 Bye. Home Field Advantage
    Chicago Fire 48 30 4 60 Wildcard vs New York Red Bulls NO Chance
    Columbus Crew SC 47 31 3 56 Wildcard vs Atlanta United FC NO Chance
    Atlanta United FC 46 28 6 64 Wildcard @ Columbus Crew SC
    New York Red Bulls 42 29 5 57 Wildcard @ Chicago Fire NO Chance
    Montreal Impact 39 29 5 54 HOPE NO Chance
    New England Revolution 38 30 4 50 HOPE NO Chance
    Philadelphia Union 36 30 4 48 HOPE NO Chance
    Orlando City SC 35 29 5 50 HOPE NO Chance
    D.C. United 31 30 4 43 HOPE NO Chance
    WESTERN CONFERENCE PTS GP GR Max Playoffs?
    Vancouver Whitecaps FC 48 29 5 63 Bye. Home Field Advantage
    Portland Timbers 44 30 4 56 Bye. Home Field Advantage NO Chance
    Sporting Kansas City 44 28 6 62 Wildcard vs San Jose Earthquakes NO Chance
    Seattle Sounders FC 44 30 4 56 Wildcard vs Real Salt Lake NO Chance
    Real Salt Lake 41 31 3 50 Wildcard @ Seattle Sounders FC NO Chance
    San Jose Earthquakes 39 30 4 51 Wildcard @ Sporting Kansas City NO Chance
    Houston Dynamo 39 29 5 54 HOPE NO Chance
    FC Dallas 38 29 5 53 HOPE NO Chance
    Minnesota United FC 32 29 5 47 HOPE NO Chance
    LA Galaxy 27 29 5 42 HOPE NO Chance
    Colorado Rapids 26 29 5 41 HOPE NO Chance


    Vancouver, Atlanta and NYCFC.

    We clinch top two if any of the next three things happen:

    TFC win
    NYCFC tie and TFC tie
    NYCFC loses
    Road Games:
    2013 - Montréal , 2014 - Orlando (Disney Classic), Montréal
    2015 - Columbus, New England, Montréal
    2016 - NYCFC (Leg 2 Conference Semis), Montréal (Leg 1 Conference Final)
    2017 - Ottawa (Leg 1 Canadian Championship Semi), DCU, Red Bulls (Leg 1 Conference Final), Columbus (Leg 2 Conference Final)
    2019 - Montréal, NYCFC (Eastern Conference Semi @ Citi Field), Seattle (MLS Cup Final)

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    On another note, are we REALLY the only team that has clinched or does my spreadsheet lie to me?
    Road Games:
    2013 - Montréal , 2014 - Orlando (Disney Classic), Montréal
    2015 - Columbus, New England, Montréal
    2016 - NYCFC (Leg 2 Conference Semis), Montréal (Leg 1 Conference Final)
    2017 - Ottawa (Leg 1 Canadian Championship Semi), DCU, Red Bulls (Leg 1 Conference Final), Columbus (Leg 2 Conference Final)
    2019 - Montréal, NYCFC (Eastern Conference Semi @ Citi Field), Seattle (MLS Cup Final)

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    Vancouver can win the Shield if TFC ties one and loses the rest and Vancouver wins flat out. TFC needs to win to clinch the shield next weekend.

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    Quote Originally Posted by fergiejr View Post
    On another note, are we REALLY the only team that has clinched or does my spreadsheet lie to me?
    NYCFC has also clinched.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Eastend View Post
    NYCFC has also clinched.
    Yeah, now. At press time (time of post) we were the only ones.

    "It's lonely at the top" :-)
    Road Games:
    2013 - Montréal , 2014 - Orlando (Disney Classic), Montréal
    2015 - Columbus, New England, Montréal
    2016 - NYCFC (Leg 2 Conference Semis), Montréal (Leg 1 Conference Final)
    2017 - Ottawa (Leg 1 Canadian Championship Semi), DCU, Red Bulls (Leg 1 Conference Final), Columbus (Leg 2 Conference Final)
    2019 - Montréal, NYCFC (Eastern Conference Semi @ Citi Field), Seattle (MLS Cup Final)

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    Both NYC and Van have tough schedules the rest of the way. If TFC doesn't get a single point the rest of the way, they probably still clinch. ATL still has a chance as well, but they need to run the table, which is hard to do in MLS.

    NYC:
    @ MON
    @ CHI
    @ NE
    vs CLM

    VAN:
    @ SEA
    @ KC
    @ NYRB
    vs SJ
    @ POR

    ATL:
    vs PHI
    @ NE
    vs MIN
    @ NYRB
    vs TFC
    Last edited by 105; 09-25-2017 at 09:35 AM.

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    ^wow... NYRB are in for some tough games. MTL still has a fighting chance.

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    Wednesday is gonna be a good day to tell where we sit. We rest while all three other teams that could catch us play.

    All three teams need a win. We can just sit back and see how things play out.
    Road Games:
    2013 - Montréal , 2014 - Orlando (Disney Classic), Montréal
    2015 - Columbus, New England, Montréal
    2016 - NYCFC (Leg 2 Conference Semis), Montréal (Leg 1 Conference Final)
    2017 - Ottawa (Leg 1 Canadian Championship Semi), DCU, Red Bulls (Leg 1 Conference Final), Columbus (Leg 2 Conference Final)
    2019 - Montréal, NYCFC (Eastern Conference Semi @ Citi Field), Seattle (MLS Cup Final)

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    If NYCFC doesn't WIN against MTL we clinch the shield (magic number for us currently is 2 pts, either we pick up or NYC drop).

    Saturday will either be a party before we get there or we will have another memorable day against the Red Bulls.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cas87 View Post
    If NYCFC doesn't WIN against MTL we clinch the shield (magic number for us currently is 2 pts, either we pick up or NYC drop).

    Saturday will either be a party before we get there or we will have another memorable day against the Red Bulls.
    Doesnt Atlanta still have a hope at the shield ? If they win out they'll be on 64 points. If we lose out they would win the shield. Someone help me find what I'm missing ....

  30. #30
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    Atlanta and Vancouver can catch us for the shield.

    After Wednesday, we'll know who can still catch us.

    On Wednesday:

    Atlanta plays Philly
    NYCFC plays Montreal
    Vancouver plays Seattle

    Anything less than a win for all three of those teams seals the Shield for us. If any or all of them win, then "decision day" moves to Saturday.
    Road Games:
    2013 - Montréal , 2014 - Orlando (Disney Classic), Montréal
    2015 - Columbus, New England, Montréal
    2016 - NYCFC (Leg 2 Conference Semis), Montréal (Leg 1 Conference Final)
    2017 - Ottawa (Leg 1 Canadian Championship Semi), DCU, Red Bulls (Leg 1 Conference Final), Columbus (Leg 2 Conference Final)
    2019 - Montréal, NYCFC (Eastern Conference Semi @ Citi Field), Seattle (MLS Cup Final)

 

 

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